Annual
2025–2026
Annual Luxury Hospitality Outlook
Published January 2026
Annual · 2025–2026

Annual Luxury Hospitality Outlook

The principal annual reference for owners, allocators and institutional participants in the global luxury hotel market.

Executive Summary
  • 01

    The luxury cycle remains mid-stage; supply discipline is the principal differentiator vs. prior cycles.

  • 02

    Wellness-led repositioning is the defining asset-management theme of the decade.

  • 03

    Heritage stock outperforms newly built luxury on both occupancy and ADR growth.

Forecasts
Global Luxury RevPAR (3Y CAGR)
+5.4%
Transaction Volume (3Y CAGR)
+9.0%
New Supply Growth
+2.1% p.a. (disciplined)
Risk Considerations
  • Cycle elongation creates complacency in underwriting
  • Brand fragmentation diluting equity
  • Climate and insurance cost inflation
Investment Outlook

We favour patient capital, heritage stock, wellness-integrated repositioning and disciplined branded residences strategies.

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